What if America Went Completely Dark? “We came up with some very astounding numbers. If you knock out nine total substations among those three grids, you can black out the entire United States.” And it could last months?
This site is made possible by member support. 💞
Big thanks to Arcustech for hosting the site and offering amazing tech support.
When you buy through links on kottke.org, I may earn an affiliate commission. Thanks for supporting the site!
kottke.org. home of fine hypertext products since 1998.
Beloved by 86.47% of the web.
What if America Went Completely Dark? “We came up with some very astounding numbers. If you knock out nine total substations among those three grids, you can black out the entire United States.” And it could last months?
Comments 9
thread
latest
popular
This just inspired me to buy an emergency weather radio.
For several years I've been idly speculating about the obvious vulnerability of substations to simple physical attack. A dozen rounds from a high-powered rifle could knock out a substation, and there are only like fifty million such rifles in the US. I'm surprised that America's many enemies (both internal and external) haven't taken advantage of this.
This is the discussion of the premiere episode of James Burke's late '70s BBC Connections series, how power/electricity is the backbone of our world. Take it away (for any reason) and our society falls apart since basically none of us know how to accomplish life-critical work without it. The episode (and series) is on Archive.org: https://archive.org/details/bbc-connections-1978/Connections/S01/S01E01+-+The+Trigger+Effect.mkv
I've long wondered about the possibility of attacks like this: the thing I thought of (for the UK) was to destroy a few motorway and railway bridges on critical roads. If you do it at the right time you kill nobody immediately, but the consequences are catastrophic. Attacks on the grid are even better.
At the far end of this is an EMP attack: a nuclear weapon set off above the atmosphere. It kills nobody directly, but the country below it has no power for months.
And 'for months' means 'essentially permanently': there is a pretty small amount of time that things like electricity can be gone for before things can't really recover. This is something that I learned during the 2007-2008 financial crisis, when I worked in IT in a bank (in the UK). Lots of people were saying 'we should just let the retail banks fail', but nobody who understood the banking system said that, because they knew that 'let them fail' meant 'now money does not work any more' and that if the system was down for more than a couple of days at the outside it could not be put back together again in less than months. So, months with nobody having any money: what do things look like at the end of that period? ('Not letting the retail banks fail' is very different than 'not sending many senior people in those banks to gaol'...)
I’m not prepping … you’re prepping 👀
We lived through a day long county-wide blackout here in Spain, it was very interesting how people reacted. No phones for information was really a serious issue, the network went down a few hours after the blackout when the batteries ran out . There were queues for radios in the shops - I actually went to sit in the car to listen to the radio. The first few hours all of the point of sale terminals and credit cards still worked and there was a bit of a festival atmosphere, but by hour 8 or so we started to wonder what we should do. We've got gas at home to cook, went to bed early, and woke up at 02:00 to all the lights turning back on. But I can tell you a few days of that would have been chaos!
From Bladerunner 2049: "Everyone remembers where they were at the Blackout ... I was home with my folks, then ten days of darkness. Every machine stopped cold. When the lights came back, we were wiped clean. Photos, files, every bit of data... Ffft! Gone. Bank records, too. Didn't mind that. It's funny it's only paper that lasted. I mean, we had everything on drives. Everything, everything, everything! My mom still cries over the lost baby pictures."
Pulling out my old Lacie drives right about now....
@kottke A TIL gem in this is that someone got to name an energy sector company "Amperesand". 🧑🍳👌
Personally I think the more likely disaster scenario is mass loss of satellites due to SpaceX being incautious idiots and allowing a cascading set of collisions, but por qué no los dos, eh? sigh.
If you feel like this comment goes against the grain of the community guidelines or is otherwise inappropriate, please let me know and I will take a look at it.
In order to comment or fave, you need to be a kottke.org member. Check out your membership options.
Note: If you are a member and tried to log in, it didn't work, and now you're stuck in a neverending login loop of death, try disabling any ad blockers or extensions. Or try logging out and then back in. Still having trouble? Email me!