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posted by Jason Kottke  ·  gift link

Suppose there are 3 gunmen

Suppose there are 3 gunmen in a deadly shootout situation: if someone gets shot, they’re dead. Gunman #1 gets to shoot first, but only hits his target 33% of the time. Gunman #2 gets to shoot second and hits his target 50% of the time. Gunman #3 gets to shoot last and never misses. This continues until only one man is standing. What should Gunman #1 do with his first shot so that he has his best chance of escaping with his life? I’ll give you the correct answer in a few days.