>From the keyboard (or is it pen?) of Malcolm Gladwell comes The Social Life of Paper, a review of The Myth of the Paperless Office (which seems like a expansion of some of the ideas about paper and the paperless office from The Social Life of Information). Someone (Gladwell? Gleick? Standage? Me?) should write a book called Technologies That Were Supposed to Completely Supplant Older Technologies But Didn't and Why. Chapters could include "Computers vs. Paper", "The Internet vs. Television", and "Amazon.com vs. Bookstores". What chapters would you recommend (and why)?
There are 35 reader comments
• Mar 28 2002 • 8:22PM
I can't help but think back to all the early 90's hype about the "information superhighway" and those commercials by AT&T ("have you ever gotten a haircut while getting your oilchanged, picked up some movie tickets and received a large slurpee from an ATM? You will! And the company that will bring it to you? AT&T"). There were so many things we thought would be ubiquitous today.
computers vs. manual labor (my parents used to tell me as a kid that I needed to know how to use computers, since manufacturing would be entirely computer based in my adulthood - mostly true?)
TV vs. Radio (radio wasn't completely killed)
Internet Radio vs. local FM radio
Cellphone web browsers replacing Palms/Blackberries/laptops
The web vs. Newspapers (mostly true that web papers replaced paper-based sales of news?)
broadband would be everywhere
set-top boxes on every television
pay-per-view/on-demand TV vs. cable/satalite TV
Distance Learning/computer based training (CBT)/"virtual colleges" vs. honest-to-goodness face-to-face classrooms and real school campuses
"walled cities" online like the well, e-word, aol, compuserve vs. open, non-proprietary standard internet
I know there must be dozens more.
• Mar 28 2002 • 8:36PM
One to add to my own list:
weblogs vs. journalism (although I don't know if anyone has actually suggested that weblogs will replace journalism, except maybe certain crackpots, and we all know who I'm talking about here)
• Mar 28 2002 • 9:16PM
"space age" engines vs. internal combustion
Cable vs broadcast tv
New math vs. "Old Math" (I think Old math is still around)
email vs. real mail
video vs. the radio star
New coke vs. Classic coke
Robots vs. the rest of us
Creationsim vs. Evolutionism
• Mar 28 2002 • 9:18PM
uh, about the spelling above... sorry. And I don't think "evolutionism" is a word, but it should be....
• Mar 28 2002 • 10:51PM
netmeetings vs real face-time.
ebooks vs real books
contact lenses vs glasses (most ppl i know like glasses better)
• Mar 28 2002 • 11:48PM
tele-medicine vs. operating from the same hemisphere
Aibo vs. kitten
Minidisc vs. CD
SDMI vs. MP3
• Mar 29 2002 • 12:12AM
microsoft vs. unix!
• Mar 29 2002 • 12:44AM
teledildonics v. sex
sorry, it was the first thing that came to mind.
• Mar 29 2002 • 1:31AM
Gas heat v. Oil heat
Hydro/wind/solar Electricity v. Oil/Coal Electricity
[Carbon] Fiber v. Metal
I really want to write about GM food v. traditional/organically farmed food; but a vast majority of the farmers (world wide) have already moved into GM farming. [GM] Food v. Cancer just doesn't sound right as a chapter heading. Also "traditional farming" is not always "organically grown."
• Mar 29 2002 • 1:47AM
An aside to Jim Cuene's suggestion of New Coke vs. Coke Classic: I was told by my high school AP Government teacher that New Coke is Coke Classic. The Coke people wanted to use cheaper sugar, but it tasted too different to just let it slide, so they called it "New Coke". When people complained about New Coke's taste, they just changed the name to Coke Classic.
Well, so says Mr. Kelbough...
• Mar 29 2002 • 1:48AM
the inTARnet as a reference source vs. your public library
• Mar 29 2002 • 3:29AM
email vs. letter writing (although, letter writing is in decline, couldn't help adding it for old time sake !)
online chat vs. chat at the road corner
e-books vs. real books.
mp3 vs. real-life concert.
spam vs. letter-junk
• Mar 29 2002 • 5:15AM
It does my heart good to see the suggestion that irony has not replaced sincerity: hang on in there!
My idea for a chapter would be somewhat less IT based than many so far posted. How about:
domestic labour saving machines (vaccuum cleaners, washing machines etc) vs. the chore of housework
and another, perhaps more sobering:
rational humanism vs. fundamentalist religious bigotry
• Mar 29 2002 • 5:41AM
Books vs e-books
How many years have we been told to expect the demise of the paper-bound book in favour of books we can read electronically?
I dont know about you, but I much prefer flicking through a real book than reading anything longer than a few paragraphs online.
• Mar 29 2002 • 7:28AM
the internet vs. libraries (although i think the library is on the ropes)
you know, i remember those at&t ads - a lot of that stuff is happening or about to happen . . .
• Mar 29 2002 • 7:40AM
quicktime VR vs. architectural models
more recent hype:
VRML vs. HTML
broadband vs. dialup
WAP vs. SMS
3G vs. GSM
indesign vs. quark
• Mar 29 2002 • 8:29AM
Air transportation vs. surface transportation.
I mean, come on, every futurist magazine since the 40's was showing off all the jetpacks, flying cars and levitating whatzits that'd we'd all have in the year 2000, and I don't know about you, but I'm still taking the damn subway.
• Mar 29 2002 • 8:51AM
Economy cars vs. gas guzzlers
PC vs. Mac
CD vs. vinyl
Seems to me that there is a counter-revolution that goes with every revolution.
Examples: flatscreen vs. CRT, DVD vs. VHS.
When the innovation catches on, the old technology gets way cheaper and in doing so experiences a boom in sales. If I had to buy a new monitor, I could spend $600 on a 15" flatscreen Studio Display in Graphite or $175 on a 19" Sont CRT that doesn't match my G4's color scheme. I remember when displays were $100 an inch.
• Mar 29 2002 • 8:55AM
Internet Appliances vs. My Crappy Toaster
• Mar 29 2002 • 9:02AM
The EU vs. France (or Germany, Italy, Greece, etc.--the Euro notwithstanding.) (It's not technology obviously, but it's the same genre.)
• Mar 29 2002 • 10:04AM
Wankel Rotary vs Piston engine
• Mar 29 2002 • 10:26AM
Digital vs. Analog
Cellular vs. Land Line
Virtual Reality vs. Reality
Every Musical Format vs. Each Other
Every Musical Genre vs. Each Other
Digital Photography vs. Film Photography
• Mar 29 2002 • 10:55AM
I think the more interesting question is how new technologies refocus existing technologies. Radio didn't go away when television arrived, but it certainly changed. Do you listen to much radio drama these days?
There is some irony in this. Newspapers were once the place for breaking news -- "the first draft of history." Now that we consume most information through other, instant media, newspapers have become the place where stories are investigated and given depth. What did the papers have left to say on Sept. 12 last year? They had already turned to reflection and analysis.
So I still get regular mail, but email has virtually eliminated the friendly physical letter (except from grandma). And I saw instant messaging almost immediately replace certain emails when I decided to adopt that technology.
Virtually every list above makes me more interested in how the existing thing changed when the new one arrived.
• Mar 29 2002 • 11:03AM
paper or plastic?
• Mar 29 2002 • 11:29AM
global village vs. private development
electricity vs. gasoline
Star Trek future vs. the more likely Star Wars future
intelligent consumerism vs. the increasing SUV market
flying cars vs. the increasing SUV market
portable mp3 players vs. whistling
cloning vs. sanctity of life
reuse, reduce, recycle vs. inconspicuous consumption
the homo erectus vs. this
self defense vs. running away
• Mar 29 2002 • 11:39AM
The inventors of things almost never know what their invention is going to be good for. They go into it thinking it will improve something that came before, but in fact, the new invention usually just opens up new possibilities they hadn't considered. The old stuff remains valid for the things it was good for (which probably wasn't what it's inventor intended either), so it stays around.
Brian Eno has talked a lot about this in terms of synthesizers and computerized mixing equipment. Synth designers were always building in presets that supposedly emulated traditional instruments like violins or oboes. These always sounded awful and soon musicians discovered that the best sounds to come out of a synth were the ones that didn't sound like anything else.
• Mar 29 2002 • 11:44AM
Britney's boobs vs. all that is natural and good
• Mar 29 2002 • 11:52AM
Olestra vs. Fat
Virtual Reality vs. Reality
Avatars vs. Humans
Smart cards vs. Not so smart cards
Video via PC vs. Dedicated Video link
Paying for content vs. Peer to Peer
• Mar 29 2002 • 12:20PM
telecommuting vs. showing up at the office
spork vs. spoon and fork
fat removing lotions/creams/drugs/machines "as seen on tv" vs. getting off the sofa and exercising
spray-on hair vs. the hair club for men
robots maids (like rosie on the jetsons) never came to fruition, either, darnit.
• Mar 29 2002 • 12:36PM
Quadraphonic vs. Stereo
8 tracks vs LP's
---
Can you guess when I was a kid?
• Mar 29 2002 • 12:46PM
Seems as though you have enough ideas to write a pocket book (along the lines of Paranoid's Pocket Guide, but more intellectual). Each page (or so) could be another new invention versus old. I can already see people reading it on the subway.
Possible title: "Why Hype Pops"
• Mar 29 2002 • 2:10PM
New Economy vs. Old Economy
Color Photography/Movies vs. Black & White
I like the color/b&w issue because new technology came along and fundamentally altered the context and meaning of the previous tech (b&w), but did not demolish it.
• Mar 30 2002 • 9:00PM
Why did some "revolutionary" technologies fail to take hold?
Off the top of my own head
synthetics vs. cotton
3-d movies vs. flatscreens
webvan vs. grocery stores
Palm pilot vs. sticky notes
erasable pens vs. regular pens
1.4 M floppy disks vs. all other portable storage media
polaroids vs. regular photography
tv dinners vs. cooking
microwave vs. oven
• Mar 31 2002 • 10:04PM
Actually, I do listen to radio drama. The Archers, goddammit. But. Beyond radio vs TV -- and yes, radio has been revitalised by having the instant response of phone and net, not TV -- there's:
flipping vs scrolling(we're not ready to abandon the codex)
databases vs notebooks
rolodex vs PDA
verbal vs aural
voice-over-IP vs phone
newspapers vs web news (who *really* does the crossword online?)
and so on.
This thread is closed to new comments. Thanks to everyone who responded.
J Luke Seemann • Mar 28 2002 • 8:09PM
Java vs. HTML
Velcro vs. shoelaces
Segway vs. walking/bicycling/calling a cab
Irony vs. sincerity
Clip-on vs. four-in-hand
Flow-bee vs. scissors